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Distribution Business Excel Financial Projection Model

Highly versatile and User-friendly 3 statement 5 year rolling financial projection Excel model for a startup or existing distribution business

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Excel Models 

Populated & Unpopulated

€‎55.00

Highly versatile and user-friendly Excel model for the preparation a of 5-year rolling 3 statement (Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash flow Statement) financial projection with a monthly timeline for a startup or existing distribution business generating revenue through the sale of products to the target market and other ancillary income.

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The model allows the user to model the distribution of up to 10 product categories (can be extended) and 5 ancillary income streams. The model includes 5 cost of sale categories for each product categories (e.g. product cost, shipping cost, handling costs, duties etc.) with functionality to model inventories for each product category.

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The model also incorporates a discounted cash flow valuation calculation using the projected cash flows. The model follows best practice financial modelling principles and includes instructions, line item explanations, checks and input validations.

KEY OUTPUTS

  • Projected full financial statements (Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash flow Statement) presented on a quarterly basis across up to 5 years and summarised on an annual basis.

  • Dashboard with:

    • Summarised projected Income Statement and Balance Sheet

    • Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for each summarised income statement and balance sheet line item

    • List of key ratios including average revenue growth, average profit margins, average return on assets and equity and average Debt to Equity ratio.

    • Bar charts summarising income statement and balance sheet projections

    • Gross Profit margin by product in table and bar-chart format

  • ​Discounted cash flow valuation using the projected cash flow output.

KEY INPUTS

Setup Inputs:

  • Name of business;

  • Currency;

  • First projection year and month;

  • Naming for product categories, cost of goods categories, other income, other variable costs, marketing costs, staff costs, admin costs, fixed assets and borrowings;

  • Sales tax applicability for products, cost of goods, other income and expenses and fixed assts.

 

Actuals Inputs:

  • Opening balance sheet (for existing businesses);

  • Income Statement actuals (for trend analysis);

 

Projection Inputs:

  • Revenue inputs including sales volume, sales prices and average credit terms offered;

  • Cost of goods inputs including cost per unit, safety stock percentage and average credit terms received;

  • Variable cost inputs including percentage of revenue applicable to and cost percentage of revenue;

  • Other costs inputs including staff costs, marketing costs and admin costs;

  • Sales and corporate tax inputs including rate and payment periods;

  • Dividend inputs including amount (percentage of retained earnings) and frequency;

  • Fixed assets including addition amounts and useful life;

  • Borrowings including addition amounts and interest rate;

  • Share capital additions;

  • Discount rate inputs (for valuation calculation).

MODEL STRUCTURE

The model comprises of 9 tabs split into input ('i_'), calculation ('c_'), output ('o_’) and system tabs. The tabs to be populated by the user are the input tabs ('i_Setup', ‘i_Actuals’ and 'i_Assumptions'). The calculation tab uses the user-defined inputs to calculate and produce the projection outputs which are presented in 'o_Fin Stats', ‘o_Charts’ and ‘o_DCF’.

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System tabs include:

  • A 'Front Sheet' containing a disclaimer, instructions and contents;

  • A checks dashboard containing a summary of checks by tab.

KEY FEATURES

  • The model follows good practice financial modelling guidelines and includes instructions, line item explanations, checks and input validations;

  • The model contains a flexible timeline that allows for a mix of actual and forecast period across a 5-year period. This allows projections to be easily rolled forward as forecast periods become actual period;

  • Timeline is split on a monthly basis and summarised on an annual basis;

  • The model allows the user to model up to 10 separate product categories with their own unique cost of goods setup;

  • The model is not password protected and can be modified as required following download;

  • The model is reviewed using specialised model audit software to help reduce risk of formula inconsistencies;

  • The model allows for the following number of underlying categories for each line item (these can be easily expanded if required):

    • Products – 10 categories;

    • Cost of Goods Sold – 5 categories (for each product category);

    • Other variable costs – 5 categories

    • Staff costs – 8 categories;

    • Marketing costs – 5 categories;

    • Admin expenses – 15 categories;

    • Fixed assets – 5 categories;

    • Borrowings – 3 facilities

  • Apart from projecting revenue and costs the tool includes the possibility to model receivables and payables, fixed assets, borrowings, dividends and corporate tax;

  • Business name, currency, starting projection period are fully customisable;

  • Revenue, cost and fixed asset descriptions are fully customisable;

  • The model included an integrated discounted cash flow valuation using the projected cash flow outputs;

  • The model includes instructions, line item explanations, checks and input validations to help ensure input fields are populated accurately;

  • The model includes a checks dashboard which summarises all the checks included in the various tabs making it easier to identify any errors.

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