Startup Financial Projection Model with Scenario Analysis
5-year (Monthly & Annual) 3 statement Financial Projection Model with Scenario Analysis for a Startup Business
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User-friendly Excel model intended for the preparation of a 3 statement (Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash flow Statement) 5-year financial projection for a generic start-up business.
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The model allows financial projections across 3 scenarios and follows best practice financial modelling principles and includes instructions, line item explanations, checks and input validations
KEY OUTPUTS
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Projected full financial statements (Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash flow Statement) for all 3 scenarios, presented on a monthly basis across up to 5 years and summarised on an annual basis.
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Dashboard with
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Summarised projected Income Statement and Balance Sheet for each of the scenarios;
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Compounded Annual Growth rate (CAGR) for each summarised income statement and Balance Sheet line item for each of the scenarios;
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List of key metrics including Average revenue growth, Average profit margins, Average return on assets and equity and Average Debt to Equity ratio and breakeven analysis for each of the 3 scenarios;
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Bar charts summarising income statement and Balance Sheet projections for each of the 3 scenarios;
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Variance analysis across the 3 scenarios with bar charts comparing: revenue, net profit, total assets and net assets for the 3 scenarios.
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KEY INPUTS
Setup Inputs:
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Name of business;
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Currency;
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First projection year and month;
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Naming of scenarios
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Naming for revenue streams, variable costs, staff costs, other expenses and fixed assets;
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Sales tax applicability for revenue streams, variable costs, other expenses and fixed assets.
Projection Inputs:
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Revenue inputs including sales volume, sales prices and average credit terms offered;
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Variable cost inputs including variable cost per unit and average credit terms received;
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Other costs inputs including staff costs, marketing costs and fixed costs;
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Sales and corporate tax inputs including rate and payment periods;
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Dividend inputs including amount (percentage of retained earnings) and frequency;
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Fixed Assets including addition amounts and useful life;
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Borrowings including addition amounts and interest rate;
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Share Capital including initial and subsequent equity investments
MODEL STRUCTURE
The model comprises of 11 tabs split into input ('i_'), calculation ('c_'), output ('o_’) and system tabs. The tabs to be populated by the user are the input tabs ('i_Setup', 'i_Assump_S1', 'i_Assump_S2' and , 'i_Assump_S3'). The calculation tab uses the user-defined inputs to calculate and produce the projection outputs which are presented in 'o_Fin Stats' and ‘o_Dashboard’.
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System tabs include:
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A 'Front Sheet' containing a disclaimer, instructions and contents;
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A checks dashboard containing a summary of checks by tab.
KEY FEATURES
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The model follows best practice financial modelling guidelines and includes instructions, line item explanations, checks and input validations;
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The model allows for a 5-year projection on a monthly basis and summarised on an annual basis;
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The model is not password protected and can be modified as required following download;
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The model is reviewed using specialised model audit software to help ensure formula consistency and significantly reduce risk of errors;
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The model allows for the following number of underlying categories for each line item (these can be easily expanded if required):
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Scenarios – 3 scenarios
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Revenue streams – 10 categories;
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Variable costs – 2 per revenue category;
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Staff costs – 5 categories;
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Marketing costs – 5 categories;
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Other expenses – 15 categories;
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Fixed Assets – 3 categories;
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Borrowings – 1 facility;
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Costs are split into: variable, fixed, staff and marking costs for better driver-based forecasting;
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Apart from projecting revenue and costs the tool includes the possibility to model receivables and payables, fixed assets, borrowings, dividends, sales tax and corporate tax;
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Business Name, currency, starting projection period are fully customisable
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Revenue, Cost and Fixed Asset descriptions are fully customisable;
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The model includes the possibility to start mid-way through the first projection year;
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The model includes instructions, line item explanations, checks and input validations to help ensure input fields are populated accurately;
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The model includes a checks dashboard which summarises all the checks included in the various tabs making it easier to identify any errors.