PURPOSE OF MODEL
 
User-friendly Excel tool to calculate the expected value and return for a portfolio of crypo currency investments using Monte Carlo simulation analysis. The model allows the user to specify the crypo currency investment holdings (up to 15 different currency holdings), expected return, expected standard deviation and the investment period to calculate a distribution of the expected total return and investment balance at the end of the investment period using Monte Carlo simulation.
 
The model enables the user to automatically download historic prices for each crypto currency holding to help determine / sense-check key projection assumptions such as the standard deviation and investment return.
 
The model follows best practice financial modelling principles and includes instructions, checks and input validations
 
 
KEY OUTPUTS
 
The key outputs include:
Distribution chart of investment balances at end of investment period;
Distribution chart of the total investment return over the investment period;
Chart showing investment holding breakdown for a single iteration across investment period;
Key results/ratios including average investment balance, average investment return, historic average return and historic standard deviation;
Table showing total investment balance, investment return and additions/redemptions across key percentiles
Table showing average development of investment balance over projection period.
 
 
KEY INPUTS
 
The key inputs include
Currency
Latest year and week
Portfolio composition (Tickers and current investment balance by holding)
Expected standard deviation
Expected average return
Weekly pricing data for past years
 
 
MODEL STRUCTURE
 
The model contains, 5 tabs split into input ('i_'), calculation ('c_'), output ('o_’) and system tabs. The tabs to be populated by the user is the input tab ('i_Inputs'). The calculation tab uses the user-defined inputs to calculate and produce the projection outputs which are presented in ‘o_Results’ 
 
System tabs include:
A 'Front Sheet' containing a disclaimer, instructions and contents; 
A Checks dashboard containing a summary of checks by tab.
 
 
KEY FEATURES
 
Other key features of this model include the following:
The model follows best practice financial modelling guidelines and includes instructions, line item explanations, checks and input validations;
The model allows for a maximum remaining investment period of 5 years;
The model uses Monte Carlo analysis to simulate the investment return and balances for up to 1,000 iterations;
Portfolio composition, currency, calculation year are fully customisable;
The model includes instructions, checks and input validations to help ensure input fields are populated accurately; 
The model includes a checks dashboard which summarises all the checks included in the various tabs making it easier to identify any errors. 
 
 
MODIFICATIONS & SUPPORT
 
If you require any be-spoke modifications or support, we are more than happy to assist. Please send us a message below or contact us on hello@useprojectify.com