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PURPOSE OF MODEL

 

Highly versatile and user-friendly Excel model for the p   reparation a of 5-year rolling 3 statement (Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash flow Statement) financial projection with a monthly timeline across 3 scenarios for a generic new or existing business. The model allows businesses to plan for uncertainty across the turbulence caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

 

The model follows good practice financial modelling principles and includes instructions, line item explanations, checks and input validations.

 

 

KEY OUTPUTS

 

The model is generic and not industry-specific. The key outputs include:

  • Projected full financial statements (Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash flow Statement) for all 3 scenarios, presented on a monthly basis across up to 5 years and summarised on an annual basis.
  • Dashboard with:
    • Summarised projected Income Statement and Balance Sheet for each of the scenarios;
    • Compounded Annual Growth rate (CAGR) for each summarised income statement and Balance Sheet line item for each of the scenarios;
    • List of key ratios including Average revenue growth, Average profit margins, Average return on assets and equity and Average Debt to Equity ratio for each of the 3 scenarios;
    • Bar charts summarising income statement and Balance Sheet projections for each of the scenarios;
    • Gross Profit margin by revenue stream in table and bar-chart format for each of the 3 scenarios.
    • Variance analysis across the 3 scenarios with bar charts comparing: revenue, net profit, total assets and net assets for the 3 scenarios.

 

 

KEY INPUTS

 

Inputs are split into Income Statement and Balance Sheet Inputs. Most inputs include user-friendly line item explanations and input validations to help users understand what the input is for and populate correctly.

 

Setup Inputs:

  • Name of business;
  • Currency;
  • First projection year and month;
  • Naming of scenarios
  • Naming for revenue streams, variable costs, staff costs, other expenses and fixed assets;
  • Sales tax applicability for revenue streams, variable costs, other expenses and fixed assets.

 

Actuals Inputs:

  • Opening balance sheet (for existing businesses);
  • Income Statement actuals (for trend analysis);

 

Projection Inputs for each of the 3 scenarios:

  • Revenue inputs including sales volume, sales prices and average credit terms offered;
  • Cost of goods sold included percentage of revenue, safety stock percentage and average credit terms received;
  • Variable cost inputs including % of revenue applicable to and cost percentage of revenue
  • Other costs inputs including staff costs, marketing costs and fixed costs;
  • Sales and corporate tax inputs including rate and payment periods;
  • Dividend inputs including amount (percentage of retained earnings) and frequency;
  • Fixed Assets including addition amounts and useful life;
  • Borrowings including addition amounts and interest rate;
  • Share Capital additions;
  • Discount rate inputs (for valuation calculation).

 

 

MODEL STRUCTURE

 

The model comprises of 12 tabs split into input ('i_'), calculation ('c_'), output ('o_’) and system tabs. The tabs to be populated by the user are the input tabs ('i_Setup', ‘i_Actuals’, 'i_Assump_S1', 'i_Assump_S2' and , 'i_Assump_S3'). The calculation tab uses the user-defined inputs to calculate and produce the projection outputs which are presented in 'o_Fin Stats' and ‘o_Dashboard’.

 

System tabs include:

  • A 'Front Sheet' containing a disclaimer, instructions and contents;
  • A Checks dashboard containing a summary of checks by tab.

 

 

KEY FEATURES

 

Other key features of this model include the following:

  • The model follows good practice financial modelling guidelines and includes instructions, line item explanations, checks and input validations;
  • The model contains a flexible timeline that allows for a mix of actual and forecast period across a 5-year period. This allows projections to be easily rolled forward;
  • Timeline is split on a monthly basis and summarised on an annual basis;
  • The model allows the user to model 10 separate revenue streams on a Price x Volume basis;
  • The model is not password protected and can be modified as required following download;
  • The model is reviewed using specialised model audit software to help ensure formula consistency and significantly reduce risk of errors;
  • Costs are split into: variable and other costs for better driver-based forecasting;
  • The model allows for the following number of underlying categories for each line item (these can be easily expanded if required):
    • Scenarios – 3 scenarios
    • Revenue streams – 10 categories;
    • Cost of goods sold – 1 category for each revenue stream (10 categories in total);
    • Variable costs – 5 categories
    • Staff costs – 8 categories;
    • Marketing costs – 5 categories;
    • Other expenses – 15 categories;
    • Fixed assets – 5 categories;
    • Borrowings – 3 facilities
  • Apart from projecting revenue and costs the tool includes the possibility to model receivables and payables, fixed assets, borrowings, dividends and corporate tax;
  • Business Name, currency, starting projection period and scenario names are fully customisable;
  • Revenue, Cost and Fixed Asset descriptions are fully customisable;
  • The model included an integrated discounted cash flow valuation using the projected cash flow outputs;
  • The model includes instructions, line item explanations, checks and input validations to help ensure input fields are populated accurately;
  • The model includes a checks dashboard which summarises all the checks included in the various tabs making it easier to identify any errors.

 

 

 

MODIFICATIONS & SUPPORT

 

If you require any be-spoke modifications or support, we are more than happy to assist. Please send us a message below or contact us on hello@useprojectify.com

Generic Monthly Scenario Projection Model - PDF

€0.00Price
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